2016 Conference Papers
Links to papers within Presenter name (where available).
| Abbreviations: (NZEPP): New Zealand Economic Policy Prize Entry (SNZ): Statistics New Zealand Prize Entry (SHP): Seamus Hogan Prize Entry (JW-D): Jan Whitwell Prize Entry (Doctoral) (JW-BM): Jan Whitwell Prize Entry (Bachelors or Masters) |
| Time | Session Title | Paper Title | Presenter/s | Co-Author |
| Wednesday 29 June | ||||
| 9:00 – 10:30am | Keynote 1. James K. Galbraith Chair: Tim Hazledine | Inequality: A Global and Macroeconomic View | ||
| 10:30 – 11:00am | MORNING TEA | |||
| 11:00 – 12:30pm | 1.1) Society Chair: Bill Kaye-Blake | Joint Culpability: The impact of Medical Marijuana laws on crime | Wilbur Townsend (SHP, JW B-M) | |
| The Economics of Social Services | Dave Heatley Geoff Lewis | |||
| 1.2) Macroeconomics Chair: Kim Mundy | Taxes and Economic Growth in OECD Countries: A Meta Regression Analysis | Nazila Alinaghi (NZEPP, SHP, JW-D) | ||
| Government Domestic Borrowing and Crowding Out Effect in Oil-Dependent Economies | Anthony Anyanwu (SHP, JW-D) | |||
| Stock Market Volatility and Economic Activity | Michael Callaghan (JW-BM) | |||
| 1.3) Disasters Chair: Richard Watt | The Household Response to Persistent Natural Disasters: Evidence from Bangladesh | Azreen Karim (JW-D) | ||
| How Resilient are poor households to disaster risks? | Tauisi Taupo (SNZ, JW-D) | |||
| Labour market dynamics following a regional disaster | Arthur Grimes (NZEPP, SNZ) | Richard Fabling, Levente Timar | ||
| 1.4) Trade Chair:Jane Turner | Impact of US Cotton Subsidies on Export: Do the Cotton Dispute and WTO Settlement Matter? | Lan Anh Tong (JW-D) | ||
| Impact on Donors Trade through Aid for Trade: Australia and New Zealand and Asia | Rukmani Gounder | |||
| Impact of non-Tariff Measures on Exporting Countries: Estimates for the EU and New Zealand Markets | Mike Webb (NZEPP, SHP, SNZ, JWD) | Anna Strutt, John Gibson | ||
| 1.5) Big Data & Living Standards Modelling Chair: Paul Rodway | A model for Treasury’s Living Standard Framework | Anita King | ||
| The impact of Youth Service on the outcomes of disadvantaged youth | Sarah Crichton | Sylvia Dixon, Keith McLeod | ||
| Estimating the future real rate of return on New Zealand 10-year government bonds | Matthew Bell | Tugrul Vehbi, Ben Udy | ||
| 1.6) Productivity Chair: Alan Bentley | Employee integration and productivity in New Zealand: A Study of migrant Dairy workers in Canterbury | Jacob Kambuta (JWD) | ||
| The impact of R&D grants on performance of New Zealand firms | Simon Wakeman | |||
| Public Sector productivity and quality changes | Patrick Nolan | Grant Scobie | ||
| 12:30 – 1:30pm | LUNCH | |||
| 1:30 – 3:00pm | 2.1) Tax Chair: Siobhan Coffey | Allowing for Income Effects in Estimates of the Elasticity of Taxable Income | John Creedy | Norman Gemmell, Josh Teng |
| Smith, Mill and Say on Taxation | Sean Kimpton | |||
| Flat Tax in New Zealand: Unemployment and Social Security Taxes 1930-70 | Keith Rankin | |||
| 2.2) Housing-related Chair: Ting Huang | Housing specific LVR restrictions and monetary policy in New Zealand | Neroli Austin (JW-BM) | ||
| Climbing the property ladder: An analysis of market integration in London property prices | Mark Holmes | Jesus Otero, Theodore Panagiotidis | ||
| Will air transport or tourism affect urban property prices? The case of regional cities in New Zealand? | Kan Wai Hong Tsui David Tan (NZEPP, SHP, SNZ) | Clement Kong, Wing Chow | ||
| 2.3) Mixed Chair: Zoe Wallis | Impact of Climate Change on crop production in Ghana: A micro-econometric analysis | Prince Maxwell Etwire | Viktoria Kahui, David Fielding | |
| A comment on Wu and Xia (2015), and the case for two-factor Shadow Short Rates | Leo Krippner | |||
| Estimating Income Dynamics from cross-sectional data using Probabilistic matching | Christopher Ball | |||
| 2.4) Growth & Productivity Chair: Gary Dunnet | Higher Education Institutions and Regional Growth: The Case of New Zealand | Eyal Apatov | Arthur Grimes | |
| Otago Farmers Market: An Empirical Analysis of Possible Pathways to Growth | Kate Preston (SHP, JW-BM) | Nathan Berg | ||
| Geographic proximity and productivity convergence across New Zealand firms | Guanyu Zheng | |||
| 2.5) New Zealand Fiscal Policy Framework Chair: Kam Szeto | Returning to surplus: New Zealand’s recent fiscal consolidation experience | Richard Sullivan | Dhiritidyuti Bose, Renee Philip | |
| A Guide to New Zealand’s Fiscal Management Approach | Niki Lomax | Ben Udy | ||
| The Design of Fiscal Targets: Insights from the Literature for New Zealand | Udayan Mukherjee | Oscar Parkyn | ||
| 2.6) New Zealand Society Chair: Ingrid Sage | Changing tenure patterns for Māori and pacific people in New Zealand | Rosemary Goodyear | ||
| Net Worth in New Zealand – results from the Household Expenditure Survey Net Worth Supplement | Nairn Macgibbon | |||
| Tax-transfer policies and income inequality: New Zealand in 1995-2013 | Matt Nolan (JW-D) | |||
| 3:00 – 4:00pm | AFTERNOON TEA AND EXTENDED POSTER SESSION | |||
| 4:00 – 5:30pm | 3.1) Seeking competitive outcomes: issues in regulation and competition enforcement Chair: Simona Fabrizi | The impact of foreign ownership on merger authorisations | Reuben Irvine | Lilla Csorgo |
| Asymmetric costs and price uplifts | David Ruck | |||
| Vexing Competition Questions: Panel Discussion | Catherine Corbett Mayuresh Prasad | |||
| 3.2) Exchange Rates Chair: Peter Nicholl | Bond premia, monetary policy and exchange rate dynamics | Anella Munro | ||
| Are there bubbles in the exchange rates? Some evidence from G10 and emerging markets countries. | Yang Hu (JW-D) | Les Oxley | ||
| Deviations in real exchange rate levels across OECD members and their structural determinants | Daan Steenkamp (JWD) | Martin Berka | ||
| 3.3) Environment Chair: Suzi Kerr | Environmental Tax Reform (ETR) and New Zealand Economic Performance: Modelling with E3ME | Sina Ahmadzadeh Mashinchi (NZEPP, SHP, SNZ, JW-D) | Basil Sharp, Stephen Poletti | |
| Assessing environmental, financial, recreational and cultural values of rivers in Canterbury: a choice experiment application | Sini Miller (JW-D) | Caroline Saunders, Peter Tait | ||
| The best partner for Australia to bilaterally link its emissions trading scheme | Duy Nong (SHP, JW-D) | Mahinda Siriwardana | ||
| 3.4) Gender Economics Chair: Amber Watson | The Gender Pay Gap in New Zealand: Evidence from the SOWL / HLFS | Bill Cochrane | Gail Pacheco | |
| Analysis of Rural Women’s Economic and Political Participation in Shaanxi, China: Preliminary Results and Insights | Mei Yang (SHP, JW-D) | Allan Rae, David Tripe, Martin Young et al. | ||
| Impact of governance and gender on microfinance efficiency – A stochastic frontier analysis | Uzma Bibi | Hatice Ozer Balli, Claire D Matthews, David W L Tripe | ||
| 3.5) Panel Discussion: Chair: Norman Gemmell (Chair in Public Finance, Victoria University) | Guarding the Public Purse: Fiscal Policy Frameworks to support a modern economy | Panellists: | ||
| 1)Tim Ng (Director Economic Systems New Zealand Treasury), | ||||
| 2)John McDermott (Assistant Governor and Head of Economics, Reserve Bank of New Zealand) | ||||
| 3)David Fielding (Professor of Economics, Otago University) | ||||
| 3.6) Disasters Chair: Michael Johnston | Natural disasters, social protection, and risk perceptions | Pike Brown | Adam Daigneault, Emilia Tjernstrom, Wenbo Zou | |
| Giving money and time – the response to the Christchurch earthquake | Jan Feld | Harold Cuffe | ||
| Multinomial-logistic model to investigate the change in the level of insurance coverage post natural catastrophe | Richard Mumo (NZEPP, SHP) | |||
| 5:30 – 6:30pm | WELCOME RECEPTION | |||
| Thursday 30 June | ||||
| 9:00 – 10:30am | Keynote 2. John Gibson Chair: John McDermott | What can faculty salaries tell us about the returns to quantity and quality of economics research? | ||
| 10:30 – 11:30am | MORNING TEA | |||
| 11:00 – 12:30pm | 4.1) Microeconomics Chair: Amy Rice | Incorporating the Effect of Successfully Bagging Game into Recreational Hunting | Arwin Pang | |
| Effects of Tort Law Reform on Incentive for Innovation: A Calabresian Approach | Ping Lin | Tianle Zhang | ||
| Abuse of market power: the end of “make-believe” analysis? | Donal Curtin (NZEPP) | |||
| 4.2) Inflation expectations Chair: John McDermott | Inflation expectations curve: a tool for monitoring inflation expectations | Michelle Lewis (NZEPP) | ||
| Firms’ Asset Allocations and Inflation Expectations | Saten Kumar | |||
| How Credible is Inflation Targeting in Asia? A Quantile Unit Root Perspective | Harold Glenn Valera (JWD) | Mark Holmes, Gazi Hassan | ||
| 4.3) Case Studies Chair: Sini Miller | Divestiture as Conglomerate Merger Remedy, with Case Study of the 2005 P&G-Gillette Merger | Lydia Cheung | ||
| Adoption intensity of conservation agriculture in the Masvingo district of Zimbabwe | Machiweyi Kunzekweguta (JWD) | Karl Rich, Michael Lyne | ||
| Technical, Allocative, Cost, Scale and environmental efficiencies of rice milling in Kenya: A Non-Parametric Approach | Eucabeth Majiwa | |||
| 4.4) Mixed Chair: Steffen Lippert | Developing and Communicating Credence Attributes through Agri-food Global Value Chains to Maximise Export Returns | Caroline Saunders | Tim Driver, Meike Guenther et al. | |
| Can ASEAN create a Partial Customs Union post-2015? | Sadhana Srivastava | Rahul Sen, Sanchita Basu Das | ||
| Attack, defence and the market for protection | Simona Fabrizi | Steffen Lippert, Jose A Rodrigues-Neto | ||
| 4.5) Mobility, Equity & Poverty Chair: Peter Fieger | Measuring Income Mobility: Insights from TIM Curves | Norman Gemmell | John Creedy | |
| Investigating intergenerational mobility using linked census data | Isabelle Sin | Stella McMullen | ||
| The Impact of Rural Bank Loans on Regional Economic Growth and Poverty Rate in Indonesia | Laksmi Devi (SHP, JWD) | |||
| 4.6) New Zealand Chair:Bettina Schaer | Does New Zealand Economics Have a Useful Past? The Example of Trade Policy | Geoffrey Brooke | Anthony M. Endres, Alan J Rogers | |
| Is New Zealand gainfully participating in Global Value Chains? | Rahul Sen | Sadhana Srivastava | ||
| The Paris Agreement and its Economic Impact on New Zealand | Mario Fernandez (NZEPP) | |||
| 1:15 – 2:00pm | LUNCH / NZAE AGM | |||
| 2:00 – 3:30pm | 5.1) Shocks & Violence Chair: David Sinclair | Health Shock and Households’ Decision on Allocation of Children’s Time: Evidence from Ethiopia | Yonatan Dinku (JWD) | |
| Maternal Stress and Birth Outcomes: Evidence from an Unexpected Earthquake Swarm | Andrea Menclova | Steven Stillman | ||
| The effects of politically motivated violence on international tourists’ choices: an interaction model for Colombia | Andrés Camacho (SHP, SNZ, JW-D) | |||
| 5.2) Labour & Entrepreneurship Chair: Bill Rosenberg | Are high positive net migration flows a new normal? Disaggregated modelling by citizenship and visa | Ram Sriramaratnam Xintao Zhao | Xintao Zhao | |
| Dynamics of changes in macro-labour market variables: Decomposition of Participation and Employment rates and relationship | Ram Sriramaratnam Amapola Generosa | |||
| Obstructing innovation – social processes that inhibit entrepreneurship | Amanda Lynn (SHP, JWD) | |||
| 5.3) Global Food Security & Sustainable Development Chair: Alan Renwick | Why SOME are still hungry: A cross-country analysis with Global Hunger Index (GHI) | Nazmun Ratna | Linh Ho | |
| Market structure and coherence of international cooperation: the case of the dairy sector in Malawi | Alan Renwick | Cesar Revoredo-Giha | ||
| Policy options for sustainability in potato value chains in Bihar: a system dynamics approach | Karl Rich | Kanar Dizyee | ||
| 5.4) Urban Economics Chair: Chris Parker | A Positive Expected Rent or A Negative Supply Effect? A Study of Auckland’s MUL Policy | Eilya Torshizian (JWD) | ||
| Affordability Decomposition for Auckland | Harshal Chitale (JWD) | Eilya Torshizian | ||
| Negative Envy or Positive Amenity Effects? A Neighbourhood Study of Aucklanders’ Residential Satisfaction | Eilya Torshizian (JW-D) | Arthur Grimes | ||
| 5.5) Econometrics Chair: Jeremy Couchman | Accounting for Heterogeneous and Non-Stationary Multifactor Error Structure in Panel Dataset: New Monte Carlo Simulation Experiments | Akinwande Atanda (JW- D) | ||
| More Evidence on “Which Panel Data Estimator Should I Use?” | Bob Reed | Bill Rea, Mantobaye Moundigbaye | ||
| Bootstrap Methods for Inference in the Parks Model | Mantobaye Moundigbaye (JWD) | |||
| 5.6) Income & Employment Chair: Grant Andrews | Modelled Territorial Authority Gross Domestic Product for New Zealand | Peter Ellis (SNZ) | ||
| Production, Sales Activity and the aggregate distribution of factor incomes a note | Andrew Coleman | |||
| Jobless Recoveries: The Interaction between Financial and Search Frictions | Dennis Wesselbaum | |||
| 3:30 – 4:00pm | AFTERNOON TEA | |||
| 4:00 – 5:30pm | Keynote 3. Janet Currie Chair: Paul Dalziel | Early life and the Roots of Inequality | ||
| 6:30 – 7:30pm | PRE CONFERENCE DINNER DRINKS | |||
| 7pm Onwards | CONFERENCE DINNER | |||
| Friday 1 July | ||||
| 9:00 – 10:30am | Keynote 4. David Teece Chair: Arthur Grimes | Dynamic Capabilities: Towards a Cambridge/Austrian Theory of Innovating Firms and Dynamic Resource Allocation. | ||
| 10:30 – 11:00am | MORNING TEA | |||
| 11:00 – 12:30pm | 6.1) Applied Microeconomics Chair: Donna Purdue | Does Charity Begin at Home or Overseas? | Stephen Knowles | Trudy Sullivan |
| Low-‐quality patents in the eye of the beholder: Evidence from multiple examiners | Adam Jaffe | Gaetan de Rossenfosse, Beth Webster | ||
| Distributional properties of within-season competitive balance measures based on the Herfindahl-Hirschman index | Dorian Owen | |||
| 6.2) Wellbeing Chair: Martin Fukac | Wellbeing Economics and Treasury’s Perspective on New Zealand’s Economic Performance | Paul Dalziel (NZEPP) | Caroline Saunders | |
| Subjective wellbeing and time preference: testing the discounted utility model | Judd Ormsby | Arthur Grimes, Eyal Apatov | ||
| The Rich List Twenty Years on | Tim Hazledine | Max Rashbrooke | ||
| 6.3) Development & Resources Chair: Ross Wilson | The costs and benefits of urban development: A theoretical and empirical synthesis | Peter Nunns | Tim Denne | |
| SARIMA-MLR Model for Forecasting Residential Water Consumption, Case Study: Hamilton, New Zealand | Farnaz Farhangi | |||
| Money, sunshine, and rain: examining the drivers of rural land values over time and space | Corey Allan | Suzi Kerr | ||
| 6.4) Productivity, Innovation & Growth Chair: David Law | Productivity Growth and Labour Reallocation: Latin America versus East Asia | Murat Ungor | ||
| Misallocation and productivity in New Zealand | Lisa Meehan (SNZ) | |||
| The private returns to innovation for New Zealand firms | Simon Wakeman | |||
| 6.5) Industry Chair: Stuart Pitts | Coalition for upstream joint investment meets downstream technology choice | Keizo Mizuno | Kazuhiko Mikami | |
| Conflict of Interest, Disclosure, and Vertical Relationships: An Experimental Analysis | Paul Chen | Martin Richardson | ||
| The links between intangible investment, competition and firm performance | Nathan Chappell | Adam Jaffe | ||
| 6.6) Datasets Chair: Michael Challands | A Rough Guide to New Zealand’s Longitudinal Business Database | Lynda Sanderson | Richard Fabling | |
| Redeveloped Household Labour Force Survey | Sharon Snelgrove | |||
| Updated Input-Output Tables for New Zealand | Jeroen Kole | |||
| 12:30 – 1:30pm | LUNCH | |||
| 1:30pm | CONFERENCE CLOSE | |||
