2017 Conference Papers
Programme listed below, with links to papers within Title (where available).
| Abbreviations: (NZEPP): New Zealand Economic Policy Prize Entry (SNZ): Statistics New Zealand Prize Entry (SHP): Seamus Hogan Prize Entry (JW-D): Jan Whitwell Prize Entry (Doctoral) (JW-BM): Jan Whitwell Prize Entry (Bachelors or Masters) |
| Wednesday 12 July | ||||
| Time | Keynote 1 | Talk Title | ||
| 9:00 – 10:30am | William Strange
Chair: Tim Ng | Tales From the Vertical City: Agglomeration, Productivity, and Real Estate (John McMillan Memorial Lecture) | ||
| 10:30 – 11:00am | MORNING TEA | |||
| 11:00 – 12:30pm | Session Title | Paper Title | Presenter/s | Co-Author |
| 1.1) CORE and its Applications in New Zealand
Chair: Girol Karacaoglu | CORE and its Applications in New Zealand | Girol Karacaoglu | ||
| CORE and its Applications in New Zealand | Wendy Carlin | Samuel Bowles & Adrian Slack | ||
| CORE and its Applications in New Zealand | Arthur Grimes | |||
| 1.2) Firm influences and characteristics Chair: Richard Fabling | Business structures of small commercial maritime operators | Helen Huang | ||
| Safety in numbers? Firm size and injury risk | Michelle Poland | |||
| Picking up speed: Does ultrafast broadband increase firm productivity? | Richard Fabling | Arthur Grimes | ||
| 1.3) Less Developed Countries
Chair: Utkur Djanibekov | African Maize Supply Response To World Price | Samuel Olakunle Oladipo | Kamil Sertoglu & Kemal Bagzibagli | |
| Agricultural risks and land consolidation process in transition countries: Case of cotton production in Uzbekistan | Utkur Djanibekov | Robert Finger | ||
| Neighborhood Diversity and Child Health in Ethiopia | Yonatan Dinku | |||
| 1.4) Macroeconomics and Development
Chair: Mark Holmes | Determinants of Intra-Asian Foreign Direct Investment | Anh Nguyen | ||
| Vietnam: The Next Asian Tiger? | Tom Barker | Murat Ungor | ||
| How do workers’ remittances respond to lending rates? | Mark Holmes | Gazi Hassan | ||
| 1.5) New Zealand economy
Chair: Sam Richardson | Estimating New Zealand’s tradable and non-tradable sectors using Input-Output Tables | Peter Bailey | Dean Ford | |
| The Treasury’s behavioural microsimulation model | Gulnara Huseynli | |||
| If you host it, will they come (and spend)? | Sam Richardson | |||
| 1.6) Recent Research by MBIE Staff
Chair: Corey Allan | The marginal welfare cost of personal income taxation in New Zealand | Penny Mok | John Creedy | |
| Showcasing the New Zealand labour Market dashboard | Katie Sadetskaya | Amapola Generosa | ||
| Man or Machine: The impact of technology change on employees | Corey Allan | Lynda Sanderson | ||
| 12:30 – 1:30pm | LUNCH | |||
| 1:30 – 3:00pm | 2.1) Migration, Education and Human Development
Chair: Isabelle Sin | Does the empirical evidence on program rates of return support the Heckman Curve? | David Rea | Tony Burton |
| The Economic Return of Tertiary Education | Nan Jiang | Tim Maloney, Gail Pacheco & Basil Sharp | ||
| The effect of financial incentives on international migration: Evidence from interest-free student loans | Isabelle Sin | Ran Abramitzky | ||
| 2.2) New Zealand economy
Chair: David Maré | Exchange rate puzzle: the case of New Zealand | Baiding Hu | Yingjie Lin & Paul Dalziel | |
| Measuring vulnerability on a sub-national level: A case study of New Zealand | Stephanie Rossouw | Roshen Kulwant | ||
| Urban productivity estimation with heterogeneous prices and labour | David Maré | |||
| 2.3) Trade Chair: Rahul Sen | The Effect of Non-Tariff Measures on Supply Chains in the Asia-Pacific Region | Mike Webb | Anna Strutt & John Gibson | |
| Early effects of PTAs involving zero and missing trade flows: Implications for China and India | Sadhana Srivastava | Rahul Sen & Don Webber | ||
| The RCEP Agreement and India’s auto-parts industry: An Applied General Equilibrium Analysis | Rahul Sen | |||
| 2.4) Disasters and commodities
Chair: Melissa Welsh | The household response to persistent natural disasters: Evidence from Bangladesh | Azreen Karim | ||
| Trends in Global Commodity Prices | Amber Watson | Adam Richardson | ||
| Modelling New Zealand Milk: The Impact of Traceability between the Farm and the Factory | Melissa Welsh | Sarah Marshall | ||
| 2.5) New Zealand economy
Chair: Robert Buckle | Employee Flows and Productivity in NZ’s Construction Industry | Nathan Chappell | Adam Jaffe | |
| The relationship between Pedestrian Connectivity and Economic Productivity in Auckland’s City Centre | Mehrnaz Rohani | Grant Lawrence | ||
| Evolution of Research Capability in New Zealand Universities as Measured by Performance-Based Research Fund Process | Robert Buckle | John Creedy | ||
| 2.6) Applied economics in the local government context, by the Auckland Council
Chair: Harshal Chitale | Real life applied economics in local government presented | David Norman | ||
| The Serviceability Affordability Model (SAM) | David Norman | |||
| Funding Auckland’s future infrastructure growth | Harshal Chitale | David Norman | ||
| 3:00 – 4:00pm | AFTERNOON TEA and EXTENDED POSTER SESSION (in catering area) | |||
| 4:00 – 5:30pm | 3.1) Monetary policy
Chair: Leo Krippner | Short-term risk premiums and policy rate expectations in the United States | Michael Callaghan | Leo Krippner |
| US Monetary Policy, Global Risk Aversion, and New Zealand Funding Conditions | Eric Tong | |||
| The effect of conventional and unconventional euro area monetary policy on macroeconomic variables | Leo Krippner | Arne Halberstadt | ||
| 3.2) Wages and wellbeing
Chair: Taylor Winter | Wages, Wellbeing and Location: Slaving Away in Sydney or Cruising on the Gold Coast | Arthur Grimes | Judd Ormsby & Kate Preston | |
| Gender Differences in the Wellbeing and Wage Experiences of Internal Migrants | Kate Preston | Arthur Grimes | ||
| The effect of motherhood on pay | Taylor Winter | |||
| 3.3) Econometrics
Chair: Bob Reed | Does the “Iron Law” always hold? The impact of measurement error in climate econometrics | Kendon Bell | ||
| Meta-Analysis and Publication Bias: How Well Does the FAT-PET-PEESE Procedure Work? | Nazila Alinaghi | Bob Reed | ||
| Meta-analysis with Partial Correlation Coefficients: Can the Results Be Trusted? | Bob Reed | |||
| 3.4) Mixed bag Chair: Michael Dickson | At the Very Edge of a Storm: Impact of a Distant Cyclone on Atoll Islands | Tauisi Taupo | Ilan Noy | |
| Valuing Resilience: understanding and managing uncertainty in transport infrastructure decisioning | Nathan Bittle | Monique Cornish, Chris
Money, Richard ReinenHamill & Rasik Makan | ||
| Bass Diffusion Models in the Transport Sector: Forecasting Transport Innovations in New Zealand | Michael Dickson | Bill Kaye-Blake, Tony
Wolken & Matthew Smith | ||
| 3.5) NZIER topics in economics
Chair: Eilya Torshizian | NZIER, past, present and future | Laurence Kubiak | ||
| Impact of decongestion on freight and transport industries and the wider Auckland economy | Christina Leung | Killian Destremau & Daniel Pambudi | ||
| Demographics and the compact city | Eilya Torshizian | Philip Morrison | ||
| 3.6) Commerce
Commission Themed Session Chair: Diego Villalobos | Flipping markets | Catherine Corbett | ||
| Pass-through analysis in dynamic markets with differentiated products | Stephen Hudson | |||
| Regulated firms in unregulated markets: friends or foes? | Diego Villalobos | |||
| 5:30 – 6:30pm | WELCOME RECEPTION – Rutherford House (conference venue) | |||
| Thursday 13 July | ||||
| Time | Keynote 2 | Talk Title | ||
| 9:00 – 10:30am | Lisa Cameron
Chair: Tim Maloney | Experiments in Development Economics: Lab Experiments, Natural Experiments and Randomised Controlled Trials. | ||
| 10:30 – 11:00am | MORNING TEA | |||
| 11:00 – 12:30pm | Session Title | Paper Title | Presenter/s | Co-Author |
| 4.1) Agriculture
Chair: Caroline Saunders | Drought Expectations of Rural Decision Makers and Future Climate Change | Pamela Booth | Phillip Brown & Patrick Walsh | |
| A Viable and Cost-Effective Weather Index Insurance for Rice in Indonesia | Aditya Kusuma | Ilan Noy | ||
| Consumer attitudes towards for food attributes in developed and emerging countries and their potential impact | Caroline Saunders | Meike Guenther, John
Saunders, Paul Dalziel & Paul Rutherford | ||
| 4.2) Wellbeing Chair: Anita King | Wellbeing and the New Zealand Government’s Social Investment Approach | Simon Wakeman | ||
| Regional inequality in non-economic quality of life: convergence or divergence? | Stephanie Rossouw | Talita Greyling | ||
| Living Standards Analysis Model: The First Prototype | Anita King | |||
| 4.3) Firm and industry
Chair: Lydia Cheung | Utility Firm Performance with Heterogeneous Quality Preferences and Endogenous Ownership | Richard Meade | Magnus Soderberg | |
| Hostile Takeover Defences and their Role in Investment | Cameron Hobbs | Graeme Guthrie | ||
| Retrospective Study of P&G-Gillette Merger and Remedy | Lydia Cheung | |||
| 4.4) Risk management and games
Chair: Oscar (Chi Lei) Lau | Sustainable Financing for Climate and Disaster Resilience in Atoll Islands: Evidence from Tuvalu and Kiribati | Tauisi Taupo | ||
| The equitable distribution of a discrete set of resources under the Prouhet-Thue-Morse sequence | Sean Kimpton | |||
| Soft Transactions | Oscar (Chi Lei) Lau | Thomas Jeitschko | ||
| 4.5) Environment
Chair: Patrick Walsh | Light Petrol Vehicles and CO2 Emissions in New Zealand: Assessing the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policies | Sina Ahmadzadeh Mashinchi | Basil Sharp & Stephen Poletti | |
| Forecasting the economic impacts of two biofouling invaders on New Zealand green-lipped mussel aquaculture | Tarek Soliman | Graeme Inglis | ||
| Farmers and Environmental Best Management Practices: Differentiating Small Businesses | Patrick Walsh | Pike Brown | ||
| 4.6) Transport Themed Session 1
Chair: John Holt | Valuing public transport networks –economic and social benefits of changes in service provision | Robyn Hyde | Dave Smith | |
| Valuing Public Transport Quality using Passenger Ratings and Willingness to Pay Surveys | Neil Douglas | |||
| Industry-based economic development policy via inputoutput tables. | John Holt | |||
| 12:30 – 2:00pm | LUNCH / NZAE AGM | |||
| 5.1) Data and valuation
Chair: David Fleming | International Trade Data Quality Index | Karam Shaar | ||
| Investigation on the impact of the 2016 redevelopment on HLFS time series | Vinayak Anand-kumar | |||
| Sunlight valuation in a hedonic framework | David Fleming | Arthur Grimes & Dave Mare | ||
| 2:00 – 3:30pm | 5.2) Policy, output and growth
Chair: Fang Yao | Taxes and Economic Growth in OECD Countries: A Meta-Analysis | Nazila Alinaghi | Bob Reed |
| International Cross-listing and Output Orientation: Evidence from OECD countries | Abraham Agyemang | Xiaoming Li & Faruk Balli | ||
| Macroprudential Policies in a Low Interest-Rate Environment | Fang Yao | Margarita Rubio | ||
| 5.3) Gender
Chair: Paul Dalziel | Do men and women with comparable research performance climb the academic ladder the same way? | Andrea Menclova | Ann Brower | |
| Empirical evidence of the gender pay gap in NZ | Gail Pacheco | Bill Cochrane & Chao Li | ||
| Gendered Innovation in Economics: Marilyn Waring’s Approach to Social Science Research | Paul Dalziel | Caroline Saunders | ||
| 5.4) Tax and fiscal policy
Chair: Patrick Nolan | Horizontal and vertical equity in the New Zealand tax system: 1988-2013 | Matthew Nolan | ||
| The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in New Zealand: a new narrative dataset | Oscar Parkyn | Alfred Haug & Tugrul Vehbi | ||
| Family and work tax credits in five liberal welfare states | Patrick Nolan | |||
| 5.5) Centre of Social Data Analytics Themed Session
Chair: Tim Maloney | Impact of Targeted Home Visiting Programs on Child
Mortality and Maltreatment:Quasi-experimental Evaluation Using Administrative Data | Rhema Vaithianathan | Tim Maloney, Moira Wilson & Sarah Baird | |
| Impact of School-Based Support on Educational Outcomes of Teen-Mothers:Evidence from New Zealand’s “Teen Parent Units” | Tim Maloney | Rhema Vaithianathan, Moira Wilson, Anita Staneva & Nan Jiang | ||
| 5.6) Transport Themed Session 2
Chair: Anthony Byett | The economic impacts of connectivity | Anthony Byett | Adolf Stroombergen & James Laird | |
| Socio-economic Assessment of the New Zealand ‘SuperGold’ Fare Concession Scheme | Ian Wallis | |||
| Incorporating uncertainty in transport investment appraisals | Anthony Byett | Arthur Grimes & James Laird | ||
| 3:30 – 4:00pm | AFTERNOON TEA | |||
| Keynote 3 | Talk Title | |||
| 4:00 – 5:30pm | Andrew Atkeson
Chair: John McDermott | A Historical Perspective on the Challenge of Regulating Large Banks (AWH Phillips Memorial Lecture) | ||
| 6:30 – 7:00pm | PRE CONFERENCE DINNER DRINKS – The Boat Shed, Wellington waterfront | |||
| 7pm Onwards | CONFERENCE DINNER – The Boat Shed, Wellington waterfront | |||
| Friday 14 July | ||||
| Time | Keynote 4 | Talk Title | ||
| 9:00 – 10:30am | John Gibson
Chair: Caroline Saunders | Quantity and Quality Redux | ||
| 10:30 – 11:00am | MORNING TEA | |||
| 11:00 – 12:30pm | Session Title | Paper Title | Presenter/s | Co-Author |
| 6.1) Gender, youth and ethnicity issues Chair: Gail Pacheco | Gender and Education of New Zealand Farmers | Benjamin Wiercinski | Phillip Brown | |
| Do Lower Minimum Wages for Young Workers Raise their Employment? Evidence from a Danish Discontinuity | Peer Ebbesen Skov | Claus Thustrup Kreiner & Daniel Reck | ||
| Explaining ethnic disparities in bachelor’s qualifications: participation, retention and completion in NZ | Gail Pacheco | Lisa Meehan & Zoe Pushon | ||
| 6.2) Balance sheet and housing-related Chair: Andrew Coleman | An overview of the new banking sector balance sheet statistics | Neil Humphries | ||
| Housing Leverage and Marginal Propensity to Consume | Robert Kirkby | Jonathan Chiu, Karam Shaar & Fang Yao | ||
| Housing, the Great Income Tax experiment, and the intergenerational consequences of the lease | Andrew Coleman | |||
| 6.3) New Zealand population
Chair: Geoffrey Brooke | A New Zealand Local Population Database | John Polkinghorne | ||
| New Zealand: a nation of shopkeepers? Or cockies? Or landlords? | Lindsay Beck | Bun Ung, Salendra Kumar, Jason Fullen, Peter Roche & Jonathan Millar | ||
| The Economists and New Zealand Population: Problems and Policies 1900–1980s | Geoffrey Brooke | Anthony Endres & Alan Rogers | ||
| 6.4) Crime and education
Chair: Jan Feld | Do Warrantless Arrest Laws for Domestic Violence Improve Youth Outcomes? | Kabir Dasgupta | Gail Pacheco | |
| High Times: The Effect of Medical Marijuana Laws on Student Time Use | Yu-Wei Luke Chu | Seth Gershenson | ||
| Students are Almost as Effective as Professors in University Teaching | Jan Feld | Nicolas Salamanca & Ulf Zölitz | ||
| 6.5) Data-related
Chair: Alan Bentley | Development of a business data collection to enhance the range of quarterly economic statistics | Craig Liken | Mathew Page | |
| Performance measurement in the New Zealand schooling system: Challenges and opportunities | Martine Udahemuka | |||
| Towards a big data CPI for New Zealand | Alan Bentley | Frances Krsinich | ||
| 6.6) Transport Knowledge Hub Themed Session
Chair: Adolf Stroombergen | Regional Input-Output tables: a Bayesian construction method, and applications to transport | John Holt | ||
| Introducing the New Zealand Transport Outlook: Resources for Data and Modelling | Ralph Samuelson | |||
| System dynamics investigation of freight flows and network performance in the upper North Island | Adolf Stroombergen | George Stuart | ||
| 12:30 – 1:30pm | LUNCH | |||
| 1:30pm | CONFERENCE CLOSE | |||
